Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.039035 0.045473 0.052553 0.060905 0.070473 0.081082 0.093721
2025-08-03 0.029200 0.037549 0.047578 0.060464 0.076527 0.095832 0.120731
2025-08-10 0.022072 0.030989 0.042570 0.058599 0.080085 0.107744 0.145880
2025-08-17 0.017268 0.026239 0.038727 0.057191 0.083561 0.119586 0.172181
2025-08-24 0.014194 0.023157 0.036435 0.057246 0.088668 0.133871 0.203200
2025-08-31 0.011516 0.020081 0.033527 0.055767 0.091100 0.144367 0.229781
2025-09-07 0.010240 0.018940 0.033311 0.058225 0.099592 0.164519 0.272663
2025-09-14 0.008778 0.017190 0.031785 0.058253 0.104084 0.178811 0.307802
2025-09-21 0.007354 0.015228 0.029556 0.056696 0.105616 0.188328 0.336019
2025-09-28 0.006323 0.013798 0.028024 0.056082 0.108575 0.200340 0.369351
2025-10-05 0.005915 0.013517 0.028558 0.059282 0.118636 0.225408 0.427331
2025-10-12 0.005438 0.013001 0.028549 0.061411 0.126899 0.248001 0.482918
2025-10-19 0.004656 0.011704 0.026817 0.059982 0.128356 0.258643 0.518429
2025-10-26 0.004062 0.010718 0.025580 0.059384 0.131360 0.272460 0.561196
2025-11-02 0.003457 0.009584 0.023842 0.057470 0.131433 0.280609 0.593869
2025-11-09 0.002977 0.008662 0.022427 0.056048 0.132326 0.290390 0.630561
2025-11-16 0.002655 0.008080 0.021707 0.056082 0.136325 0.306770 0.681875
2025-11-23 0.002295 0.007318 0.020430 0.054620 0.136803 0.315839 0.718922
2025-11-30 0.002171 0.007197 0.020738 0.057026 0.146373 0.345080 0.800824
2025-12-07 0.001951 0.006747 0.020124 0.057051 0.150355 0.362521 0.858906
2025-12-14 0.001696 0.006134 0.018970 0.055522 0.150412 0.371228 0.898614
2025-12-21 0.001507 0.005690 0.018209 0.054920 0.152663 0.385077 0.950913
2025-12-28 0.001464 0.005717 0.018799 0.058058 0.164698 0.422602 1.060013